Monday marks the beginning of the AFL trade period, which ends a few days later on the Friday. With the draft looming at the end of November, it’s safe to say that Collingwood’s list will change some more before we head to Telstra Dome for the draft meeting.
In fact, forget I said it’s safe to say our list will change; nothing is a given and as Collingwood supporters we’ve all been left bemused at this time of year in the past. What I really meant to say is that we would be negligient – in my mind – if we didn’t make some more moves during this trade period.
We should be looking at opening another space or two, as currently it looks likely that we’ll only have four vacant spots to work with if we remain dormant during next week. This simply does not give us enough flexibility during the upcoming national and pre-season drafts.
The onus during this trade period should be to acquire another pick, which would likely be within the third round given our trade stocks. If not obtaining another pick, we should look to open another spot or two with the view to addressing some midfield issues with some ready made potential from other clubs; depending on what shakes loose next week. We should also look to upgrade our current picks within the second and third round if possible.
With all this in mind and for us to be active during next week, some players would need to be culled. The following are the players who shape as potential trade bait; or who have had their names and futures called into question.
Rhyce Shaw
Rhyce was shopped around last year, most notably in a package deal to the Brisbane Lions in an attempt to secure Cameron Wood. Rhyce remained on our list and we managed to obtain Wood anyway, but considering this and on the back of an average year that was marred with off-field indiscretions, Rhyce’s future at Collingwood looks to be in doubt once more.
Personally, I feel Rhyce’s time at Collingwood has run its course. He provides us with dash, but his disposal has always been suspect at best and has not improved to any reliable degree. Rhyce can break the lines and can occasionally perform a capable run-with role, but the flaws in his game have a tendency to cost us more than any other player on our list.
Two instances I can outline are the Bulldogs game during the home and away season, where Rhyce had several gettable attempts on goal which could have virtually ended the contest early; but instead resulted in all too predictable misses. The second example would be the elimination final against Adelaide, where Rhyce’s errors in the first half enabled Adelaide to get into the game.
At best, Rhyce Shaw is a depth player who has been overtaken by other players within the starting 22. It’s important to have depth players, but unfortunately if we are to become serious contenders in the future we need to assemble better quality in this regard. Further to this, Jaxson Barham – who was drafted last year – has shown good signs in the latter half of the VFL season and shapes as a potential replacement for Rhyce. Jaxson’s early resume reads very similar to Rhyce’s, exceptional pace but still needing work on his disposal. The point is, Jaxson has time on his side — a commodity that may have expired as far as Rhyce is concerned.
Rhyce is a decent enough footballer to play a role in most teams, although I can’t see too many being interested. Fremantle is a possibility, given they need to fill many spots on their list after a considerable clean out. Rhyce – along with one of our picks – could play a part in upgrading our second or third round pick, along with opening up a spot on the list. If we are able to secure even a third round pick for Rhyce then I think that is the best result we could hope for. This draft appears to be relatively deep, a third round pick could be of some value.
Ben Johnson
Johnson managed 16 games in 2008, but for a large portion of his season his position in the side looked in jeopardy. Similar to Rhyce Shaw, Johnson’s kicking has always been called into question and hasn’t improved as his career progressed. When Johnson was up and firing, he was providing us with more run and carry than any other player in the side. Unfortunately, Johnson hasn’t been able to rekindle this form and has also looked to be a weak link defensively.
Once upon a time, Johnson could be called upon reliably to man the opposition’s best – and in most cases speediest – small forwards; whilst still providing good drive from the backline. It appears that Johnson has lost more than a yard of pace though and his ability to regain this aspect of his game through improved fitness is in doubt. Johnson has expressed that he wants to remain with Collingwood and is determined to recapture some long forgotten form, but it may be too late or just a case of bad timing.
The problem is, even if Johnson does regain fitness he’ll still have the same dubious kicking action. Johnson is also more of an outside receiver than a ball-winner and when it comes to receivers, the prerequisite is that they can use the ball well and regularly hit targets — an ability that Johnson lacks.
In the case of Ben Johnson – who has had previous public indiscretions – and Rhyce Shaw, their perceived lack of dedication off-field in regards to “scallywag behaviour” and fitness could give the powers that be all the reason they need to pull the trigger. Didak and Heath Shaw’s indiscretions were equal or worse, but their on-field value could see them given a lifeline whilst Johnson and Rhyce become an example for others.
As far as trade value goes, I would rate Johnson on equal terms with Rhyce at this point in time. At best we could try and nab a third round pick, or upgrade a second/third round pick whilst opening up a spot for a pre-season draft acquisition (Ben Cousins anyone?).
Other Possibilities
Sean Rusling is another name that has been tossed around during the silly season. Only by speculating Collingwood supporters of course, but nonetheless it’s worth pondering. There are a few teams out there at the moment who are looking for some forward options. The likes of Adelaide, Western Bulldogs and Melbourne have all suffered throughout the year for lack of forward targets. If Sean Rusling’s late 2007 form is still in the memories of the coaches at some of these clubs, then we might be able to get some good value.
Considering he was laid up all season from a shoulder reconstruction, it seems that Sean is probably still more potential value to Collingwood than what we could potentially receive in a trade. The fear for Collingwood though is that Sean – who is a couple of days away from turning 22 – has only played 17 games since debuting in 2005 and could be one more shoulder injury away from being written off.
Rusling’s trade value was at its highest at the end of last year, so unless a team surprises us by going over the odds, he is probably one we should roll the dice on and reassess at the end of 2009.
Shannon Cox came into the side late in the season and did well enough to perhaps bolster his trade value. In particular, along with Leon Davis he was the only player who could hold his head up after our performance against Fremantle in Round 22. Cox is originally from Western Australia and given that Fremantle are looking to restock their list and got a good look in at Cox, we could receive some good value. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me to get more value for Cox in a trade than either of Johnson or Shaw.
On the other side of the coin, I’m torn as to what we should do with Cox. His skill set is well above average, even extremely impressive at times, but sometimes his focus and intensity just seems non-existent. At 188cm and a mobile 93kgs, Cox has the physical attributes to play several positions and fill gaps; which is invaluable in the modern game. The inconsistency and the gulf between Shannon’s best and worst is what leaves supporters uncertain as to his future; one week he looks to be the answer to many of our problems and the very next he becomes a contributing factor to those shortcomings.
I’m in no position to comment on Shannon’s personality or temperament, but I dare say it will play a large part as to whether the coaching staff persist with him. Turning up to pre-season training overweight this year did Shannon no favours, but some of his end of season form may sway some favour. I’m a little indifferent as to whether we should retain or trade Cox, as I wouldn’t be surprised nor disappointed either way.
Being a realist, with the emergence of Hawthorn this year and the departure of a lot of experience, it appears that Collingwood’s premiership window may be a little further away than we originally thought. We must use this trade period to place us in good standing heading into November’s draft; hopefully putting together a side that is going to contest – convincingly – in two to three years time.