The silly season is beginning to gain momentum as we edge gradually closer to trade and draft week. So with that in mind, let’s take a look at what Collingwood’s situation is at the moment; subject to change of course.
Retirements
- Scott Burns
- Shane Wakelin
- Ryan Lonie
Delistings
- Chris Egan
- Brodie Holland
- Sam Iles
- Luke Casey-Leigh (Rookie)
So far, Collingwood have opened six spots on its list. Luke Casey-Leigh was a rookie listed player, therefore his departure opens a space on our rookie list but not on our senior list. Our rookie list is currently comprised of Sharrod Wellingham, Brent Macaffer and Kevin Dyas.
It is safe to assume that Wellingham will definitely be promoted to the senior list next year, whilst Brent Macaffer is another likely promotion from the rookie list based on his VFL performances this year and some positive comments from Malthouse. If both Wellingham and Macaffer are promoted, then they will take two of the six spots that were opened up by our retirements and delistings.
Our Draft Picks
- Round 1: Pick 11
- Round 2: Pick 29
- Round 3: Pick 45
- Round 4: Pick 61
- Round 5: Pick 77
- Round 6: Pick 93
I can’t see Collingwood drafting beyond the forth round myself and as things currently stand, we only have four active picks to use in the National Draft anyway. The original train of thought was that Collingwood would use Pick 61 on our NSW Scholarship holder Scott Reed; however given we have the option to place Reed on our Rookie List if he agrees, we may choose to go down that route. This would allow us to potentially draft four players in the national draft who we don’t already have a claim to.
If possible, I believe we should attempt to rookie list Reed as he is a raw talent and could do with a year or two of development in the VFL. Mostly, rookie listing Reed would maximise our ability to use the Scholarship system to our advantage — being guaranteed a player without having to invest a senior list position for him too early.
This draft is important and if ever there was a time for Hine to shine it’s this year. Next year and in 2010 the draft is heavily compromised by the concessions granted to the GC17 expansion. Collingwood desperately needs to make this draft a winner.
So the break down is this: Collingwood have six spots vacant, likely to be four once Wellingham and Macaffer are promoted. The rookie list is being extended to six spots next year which means that we would have five vacant spots to be filled. Scott Reed would ideally take one of these spots, leaving us four picks in the rookie draft to find some overlooked talent.
If Collingwood opts to use all four selections in the National Draft, then we would be unable to participate in the Pre-Season Draft. I suspect that in light of certain players potentially being available in the Pre-Season Draft – namely Ben Cousins – that Collingwood would like to take part. If this proves to be true, then Collingwood would have to either free up another spot, or only take part in the required minimum of three rounds in the National Draft.
I can’t see Collingwood drafting that shallow in this years draft, which appears to run quite deep with talent. This presents the possibility of Collingwood discarding at least one more player, potentially more. All of this is speculative of course and I’ll delve into the chopping block and trade bait possibilities in a later article.
Current Players of Interest
- Ben Cousins (Unlisted)
- Ryan O’Keefe (Sydney Swans)
- Adam Thomson (Port Adelaide Power)
This is a conservative list of players who are shaping as potentially available via trade and who Collingwood may find a use for. Ben Cousins is the obvious one and also the player who has the most speculation surrounding him and his possible return to the AFL. Cousins is yet to nominate a club of choice, but if he does elect Collingwood as his preferred destination then we have the potential to pick him up cheaply — possibly in the Pre-Season Draft. If this possibility becomes reality, then look for Collingwood to open up another space on the senior list to enable us to grab Cousins.
Ryan O’Keefe is a recent development, as it seems there may be a chance he is looking to return to Melbourne. Collingwood is apparently one of the clubs interested in his services, however we have ruled out our first draft pick and Alan Didak as potential trade currency. Whilst I rate O’Keefe highly, I’m unsure as to whether we need a player of his ilk. O’Keefe is a half-forward for the most part, with the ability to play cameos in the middle. We currently have depth in this area, with the likes of Leon Davis, Medhurst, Didak and Thomas. It depends largely upon what we would have to cough up, but personally I feel we would be best served by giving O’Keefe a miss in favour of more genuine midfield prospects.
Adam Thomson was drafted in the first round of 2004. In his four years at Port Adelaide, he has managed 28 senior games, playing only seven games in 2008. Adam Thomson’s name has been thrown around a lot during this trade period, as he may be looking for more senior opportunities elsewhere. As an inside midfielder, Thomson has shown promise but just hasn’t had the opportunity to solidify himself within Port Adelaide’s senior team. Thomson could be worth looking at, since we desperately need to find an inside midfielder or two and his lack of exposure would mean we could possibly acquire him relatively cheaply.
My Stance
There are two factors at play which are going to shape this years trade and draft period. Firstly and most importantly, the looming GC17 draft concessions from next year onwards. Secondly, but definitely worth noting, is Hawthorn’s success. With Hawthorn winning the flag, they have become the benchmark both on and off the field; hence validating their cutthroat trading and youth policy of the past four to five years. Hawthorn have used the draft to build whilst placing sentiment secondary to success and the proof is in the pudding. Hawthorn are the 2008 premiers and look likely to contend for the greatest prize of all for at least the next two to three years.
With this in mind, draft picks are gold. I would prefer if Collingwood looked to invest in young midfielders this draft, along with another key position backman. As for the trade table, I would hope that Collingwood doesn’t part with any trade picks for players who won’t have a significant and prolonged impact on our midfield.
If possible, we should look to upgrade our picks by either trading them plus an expendable player. What would be even better is if we can obtain another pick or two within the second or third round in exchange for a player or two. Fremantle shapes as a possible market for us come trade time, as they have several players leaving and won’t be confident in filling their list from the 5th round and beyond of the draft. As with other teams though, they will be reluctant to part with their second and third round draft picks. Who knows though? We’ve got good luck when trading with Fremantle, as do most teams.
So in summation, with this years draft as critical as it is, I say in Hine we trust. Our major target in this years draft should be midfielders, inside and out and with sound skills. This years draft is deep and there are bound to be some bolters and sliders; we could potentially get some exceptional quality with our first two picks. Hine’s drafting philosophy has been best available regardless of position, so there is no way to predict what might happen come draft day. Our last few years at the draft have been impressive, but it could all come undone if this year’s draft goes pear shaped.
We need to draft a quality group of youngsters this year to compliment our already solid core of up-and-comers, so that when our established young guns peak, they will have adequate support. This years draft and trade period shapes as the one that will determine where we stand for the next five years.